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Red55
552515.0
600512.1
437720.2
Blue78
750130.5
354633.6
1042120.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51910204060801001201405578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+25
Endgame+29
Fouls+23
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +28
8Coral scored#13
28Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
38Total teleop66
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
6Foul points0
55Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4377
#36
20.22.0
15.713.7
Auto2.7
Teleop15.1
End2.5
blue by 13.5
3546
#17
33.61.5
31.530.0
Auto7.8
Teleop24.4
End1.4
Second
5525
#26
15.02.0
14.612.6
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End1.3
blue by 15.5
30.51.5
25.023.5
Auto2.0
Teleop22.1
End6.4
Third
6005
#12
12.12.0
18.516.5
Auto3.5
Teleop7.4
End1.3
blue by 8.5
20.71.5
20.118.6
Auto3.0
Teleop14.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsMissed