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Red55
956812.5
511026.5
552515.0
Blue67
65618.3
508632.1
96508.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55490204060801005567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+4
Endgame+14
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
9Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +3
6Coral scored#6
20Coral points23
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
0Processor points0
12Net points12
12Algae points12
32Total teleop35
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#1
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
8Foul points6
55Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5110
#19
26.50.2
18.819.0
Auto4.2
Teleop20.1
End2.2
blue by 5.6
5086
#18
32.12.1
20.522.6
Auto5.5
Teleop20.4
End6.1
Second
5525
#26
15.00.2
12.612.8
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End1.3
red by 6.3
9650
#31
8.72.1
9.611.7
Auto1.6
Teleop5.7
End1.4
Third
9568
#30
12.50.2
14.014.2
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End1.5
red by 4.1
6561
#37
8.32.1
12.014.1
Auto1.4
Teleop5.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsEarned