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Red63
779418.9
750130.5
96508.7
Blue51
71556.0
354633.6
376742.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64952040801201401606351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
0Teleop0
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +3
7Coral scored#6
24Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
38Total teleop35
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
63Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.50.8
27.228.0
Auto2.0
Teleop22.1
End6.4
blue by 12.1
42.62.4
38.135.7
Auto6.1
Teleop31.1
End5.4
Second
7794
#14
18.90.8
15.716.5
Auto4.1
Teleop10.6
End4.2
blue by 14.7
3546
#17
33.62.4
27.725.3
Auto7.8
Teleop24.4
End1.4
Third
9650
#31
8.70.8
11.912.7
Auto1.6
Teleop5.7
End1.4
red by 2.7
7155
#35
6.02.4
10.37.9
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed