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Qual 72025 FIM District Lake City Event
Red54
335732.3
376742.6
78556.6
Blue65
96508.7
148143.1
368821.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions996502040801201401605465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+17
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +2
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
12Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +19
7Coral scored#11
24Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
30Total teleop49
Reef
2L4#5
3L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
6Foul points0
54Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3767
#3
42.64.7
31.3→26.6
Auto6.1
Teleop31.1
End5.4
blue by 0.5
1481
#4
43.10.5
27.3→27.8
Auto6.6
Teleop34.2
End2.4
Second
3357
#8
32.34.7
38.9→34.2
Auto5.4
Teleop19.9
End7.0
red by 10.7
3688
#27
21.50.5
22.7→23.2
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End2.6
Third
7855
#34
6.64.7
13.8→9.2
Auto1.5
Teleop5.7
End-0.6
blue by 2.1
9650
#31
8.70.5
10.8→11.3
Auto1.6
Teleop5.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed