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Red72
619011.9
759810.6
722040.9
Blue112
842724.6
615232.6
590741.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6210405015072112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+34
Endgame+34
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +27
12Coral scored#17
44Coral points61
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
54Total teleop81
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#8
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points6
72Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7220
#15
40.90.3
29.830.1
Auto5.1
Teleop31.6
End4.3
blue by 0.4
41.30.5
27.828.3
Auto8.8
Teleop30.5
End2.0
Second
6190
#28
11.90.3
17.017.3
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End1.1
blue by 20.8
6152
#20
32.60.5
34.134.7
Auto6.0
Teleop24.8
End1.9
Third
7598
#39
10.60.3
11.712.0
Auto2.5
Teleop5.8
End2.2
blue by 14.1
8427
#12
24.60.5
23.924.4
Auto4.3
Teleop17.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed