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Red59
520520.5
152813.2
838510.4
Blue120
364132.1
610122.8
653224.7
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4494020608012014016059120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+43
Endgame+53
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +33
10Coral scored#16
36Coral points59
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
44Total teleop77
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#3
3L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points8
59Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5205
#16
20.50.7
17.016.3
Auto4.4
Teleop13.9
End2.2
blue by 11.6
3641
#17
32.10.6
35.335.9
Auto6.6
Teleop18.2
End7.3
Second
1528
#31
13.20.7
18.017.3
Auto6.3
Teleop5.2
End1.6
blue by 11.5
24.70.6
22.423.0
Auto5.2
Teleop13.2
End6.3
Third
8385
#37
10.40.7
7.77.0
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End2.2
blue by 12.4
6101
#13
22.80.6
18.519.1
Auto6.2
Teleop13.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned