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Red57
1067222.7
914811.3
520520.5
Blue186
233769.4
473722.6
283258.7
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51162010015020057186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+45
Teleop+107
Endgame+129
Fouls+129
AutonomousBlue +45
6Leave6
1Coral scored#10
3Coral points48
9Total auto54
TeleoperatedBlue +62
9Coral scored#20
34Coral points72
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#7
6Processor points6
4Net points28
10Algae points34
44Total teleop106
Reef
3L4#8
3L3#6
3L2#9
1L1 · trough#7
12Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +129
0Foul points0
57Total score186

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.5
21.921.4
Auto6.3
Teleop13.5
End2.9
blue by 46.7
69.43.0
64.867.8
Auto17.0
Teleop44.5
End7.9
Second
5205
#16
20.50.5
18.317.8
Auto4.4
Teleop13.9
End2.2
blue by 38.3
58.73.0
46.749.7
Auto20.5
Teleop32.2
End6.0
Third
9148
#38
11.30.5
13.412.9
Auto2.6
Teleop8.0
End0.7
blue by 11.3
4737
#26
22.63.0
20.623.6
Auto6.1
Teleop14.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed82%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned