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Red35
619011.9
506729.7
714713.9
Blue95
1070521.4
364132.1
686138.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721110204060801001201401603595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+46
Endgame+60
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +43
5Coral scored#12
18Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
6Processor points12
0Net points12
6Algae points24
24Total teleop67
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#4
7Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points0
35Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5067
#14
29.72.3
31.729.4
Auto4.3
Teleop19.3
End6.1
blue by 8.5
38.20.1
35.335.2
Auto5.0
Teleop25.5
End7.7
Second
7147
#32
13.92.3
20.418.1
Auto4.2
Teleop7.5
End2.2
blue by 18.2
3641
#17
32.10.1
34.334.2
Auto6.6
Teleop18.2
End7.3
Third
6190
#28
11.92.3
12.19.7
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End1.1
blue by 9.6
21.40.1
21.421.3
Auto5.6
Teleop12.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsEarned