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Red62
961823.7
619011.9
914811.3
Blue59
722040.9
152813.2
920412.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53700204060801001201401606259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+1Teleop
Endgame+9
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +5
6Coral scored#6
21Coral points22
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
0Processor points0
8Net points12
8Algae points12
29Total teleop34
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
12Foul points0
62Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9618
#21
23.70.2
20.120.3
Auto3.5
Teleop17.8
End2.4
blue by 17.2
7220
#15
40.90.0
29.829.8
Auto5.1
Teleop31.6
End4.3
Second
6190
#28
11.90.2
16.817.0
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End1.1
blue by 1.3
1528
#31
13.20.0
16.616.7
Auto6.3
Teleop5.2
End1.6
Third
9148
#38
11.30.2
10.510.7
Auto2.6
Teleop8.0
End0.7
blue by 0.8
9204
#36
12.00.0
12.312.3
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsEarned