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Red118
610122.8
1070521.4
233769.4
Blue161
283258.7
590741.3
973518.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13911780100160180200118161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+31
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave3
5Coral scored#7
26Coral points37
29Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +20
19Coral scored#22
67Coral points79
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
6Processor points6
12Net points20
18Algae points26
85Total teleop105
Reef
10L4#10
4L3#9
6L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
118Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.40.3
66.366.0
Auto17.0
Teleop44.5
End7.9
red by 10.6
58.73.2
52.455.6
Auto20.5
Teleop32.2
End6.0
Second
6101
#13
22.80.3
23.022.7
Auto6.2
Teleop13.0
End3.6
blue by 18.5
41.33.2
34.337.5
Auto8.8
Teleop30.5
End2.0
Third
21.40.3
22.522.1
Auto5.6
Teleop12.5
End3.4
red by 3.1
9735
#34
18.43.2
15.018.2
Auto5.1
Teleop12.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
71%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
72%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned