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Red108
233769.4
883216.0
520520.5
Blue101
50348.1
842620.0
610122.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10189406080120140160108101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+5Teleop
+5Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
3Leave0
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points21
30Total auto21
TeleoperatedBlue +4
16Coral scored#14
58Coral points52
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
0Processor points6
12Net points16
12Algae points22
70Total teleop74
Reef
10L4#5
4L3#5
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
2Foul points0
108Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.40.5
60.160.7
Auto17.0
Teleop44.5
End7.9
red by 21.3
503
#3
48.10.8
36.737.5
Auto15.2
Teleop26.8
End6.1
Second
5205
#16
20.50.5
16.417.0
Auto4.4
Teleop13.9
End2.2
blue by 2.4
6101
#13
22.80.8
18.218.9
Auto6.2
Teleop13.0
End3.6
Third
8832
#27
16.00.5
10.210.7
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End1.9
blue by 3.9
8426
#24
20.00.8
23.324.1
Auto5.3
Teleop11.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed