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Red108
717440.5
922625.1
686138.2
Blue87
30824.6
364132.1
610122.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129955015020010887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+15Teleop
+15Endgame
+21Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +15
11Coral scored#11
38Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
6Processor points6
28Net points12
34Algae points18
72Total teleop57
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +21
6Foul points0
108Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.50.4
40.540.1
Auto15.0
Teleop22.9
End2.7
red by 8.4
3641
#17
32.10.2
32.332.1
Auto6.6
Teleop18.2
End7.3
Second
38.20.4
38.137.7
Auto5.0
Teleop25.5
End7.7
red by 13.6
308
#23
24.60.2
24.824.6
Auto3.2
Teleop20.6
End0.8
Third
9226
#19
25.10.4
25.024.6
Auto4.3
Teleop17.3
End3.5
red by 2.2
6101
#13
22.80.2
23.022.8
Auto6.2
Teleop13.0
End3.6