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Red53
725028.6
918820.8
607916.4
Blue80
521321.2
656929.8
496738.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6286020401001201405380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+23
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +20
9Coral scored#12
32Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
42Total teleop62
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
53Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7250
#31
28.60.5
25.024.5
Auto4.0
Teleop23.5
End1.1
blue by 10.2
4967
#14
38.80.4
31.732.1
Auto5.6
Teleop28.7
End4.5
Second
9188
#29
20.80.5
15.014.5
Auto3.9
Teleop15.4
End1.6
blue by 9.0
6569
#23
29.80.4
24.524.9
Auto3.8
Teleop23.7
End2.3
Third
6079
#38
16.40.5
15.014.6
Auto2.7
Teleop10.4
End3.3
blue by 4.7
5213
#34
21.20.4
11.211.7
Auto2.6
Teleop15.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed13%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed