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Red56
977327.0
437534.1
918820.8
Blue102
720228.1
611222.1
439848.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7798406012014016056102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+26
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +22
8Coral scored#11
30Coral points38
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
40Total teleop62
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
56Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4375
#35
34.11.1
27.626.5
Auto6.0
Teleop26.8
End1.3
blue by 14.6
48.71.1
44.145.3
Auto7.4
Teleop38.9
End2.5
Second
9773
#16
27.01.1
24.523.4
Auto5.4
Teleop18.9
End2.7
blue by 1.0
28.11.1
23.424.5
Auto3.8
Teleop16.0
End8.3
Third
9188
#29
20.81.1
20.419.3
Auto3.9
Teleop15.4
End1.6
blue by 1.2
6112
#28
22.11.1
17.818.9
Auto3.3
Teleop11.9
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned