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Red95
496738.8
437723.7
1060523.1
Blue108
922729.8
258644.7
655813.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87907580859510010511095108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+25
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave6
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points24
13Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +8
12Coral scored#16
44Coral points56
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
68Total teleop76
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#7
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#5
18Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
95Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#14
38.81.4
33.735.1
Auto5.6
Teleop28.7
End4.5
blue by 5.9
2586
#10
44.72.1
38.540.6
Auto13.0
Teleop28.8
End2.8
Second
4377
#36
23.71.4
17.218.5
Auto3.7
Teleop18.7
End1.2
blue by 6.2
9227
#20
29.82.1
27.829.9
Auto6.3
Teleop22.4
End1.2
Third
23.11.4
23.725.1
Auto4.2
Teleop16.9
End2.0
red by 9.7
6558
#30
13.42.1
10.412.4
Auto2.8
Teleop9.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed