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Red60
924922.7
521321.2
720228.1
Blue113
439177.8
977327.0
51629.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions681315010015020060113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+51
Endgame+53
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave9
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points24
12Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +30
8Coral scored#12
28Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#4
6Processor points6
0Net points16
6Algae points22
34Total teleop64
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points0
60Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.10.3
24.524.2
Auto3.8
Teleop16.0
End8.3
blue by 49.7
77.80.4
72.372.6
Auto17.6
Teleop50.0
End10.2
Second
9249
#15
22.70.3
24.724.4
Auto4.5
Teleop17.0
End1.2
blue by 4.3
9773
#16
27.00.4
23.423.8
Auto5.4
Teleop18.9
End2.7
Third
5213
#34
21.20.3
15.214.9
Auto2.6
Teleop15.0
End3.6
red by 11.5
5162
#22
9.70.4
12.012.4
Auto2.3
Teleop6.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned