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Red52
51629.7
437723.7
1050536.1
Blue28
977327.0
920517.1
518316.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595330407080901005228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+26Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +26
9Coral scored#4
34Coral points16
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
42Total teleop16
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
52Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.10.2
17.918.1
Auto5.6
Teleop30.5
End0.1
red by 9.1
9773
#16
27.01.7
25.724.0
Auto5.4
Teleop18.9
End2.7
Second
4377
#36
23.70.2
20.220.3
Auto3.7
Teleop18.7
End1.2
red by 6.6
9205
#25
17.11.7
16.414.7
Auto3.6
Teleop12.4
End1.1
Third
5162
#22
9.70.2
11.511.7
Auto2.3
Teleop6.5
End0.8
blue by 6.8
5183
#21
16.51.9
11.69.7
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
10%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed