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Red112
725028.6
972228.9
975523.7
Blue111
85741.5
360227.3
258644.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9314350200112111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
+15Teleop
+7Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave6
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points24
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +33
13Coral scored#13
48Coral points45
2Processor algae#1
9Net algae#3
12Processor points6
36Net points12
48Algae points18
96Total teleop63
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#4
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points6
112Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9722
#12
28.90.5
28.228.7
Auto5.8
Teleop21.4
End1.7
blue by 15.7
2586
#10
44.70.4
45.144.7
Auto13.0
Teleop28.8
End2.8
Second
7250
#31
28.60.5
27.928.4
Auto4.0
Teleop23.5
End1.1
blue by 12.9
857
#5
41.50.4
41.941.5
Auto8.8
Teleop26.5
End6.2
Third
9755
#24
23.70.5
23.023.5
Auto3.2
Teleop18.6
End1.9
blue by 3.6
3602
#32
27.30.4
27.727.3
Auto3.5
Teleop22.5
End1.3