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Red99
1062918.4
365554.5
837424.8
Blue108
781817.5
353659.7
607834.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions731095010015099108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
4Coral scored#3
22Coral points13
22Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +10
13Coral scored#14
45Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
63Total teleop73
Reef
6L4#6
7L3#7
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
99Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.52.0
41.143.1
Auto13.0
Teleop33.5
End8.0
blue by 5.3
59.70.8
52.253.0
Auto14.4
Teleop35.7
End9.6
Second
8374
#36
24.82.0
14.616.6
Auto4.5
Teleop18.9
End1.3
blue by 10.2
6078
#20
34.90.8
30.631.4
Auto3.9
Teleop25.2
End5.9
Third
18.42.0
14.015.9
Auto3.9
Teleop12.6
End1.9
red by 0.9
7818
#26
17.51.3
13.314.6
Auto3.2
Teleop10.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned