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Red141
722633.9
749129.5
842428.6
Blue121
719531.2
5146.2
570413.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91102050150200250141121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+24Teleop
+14Endgame
+20Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +24
24Coral scored#16
85Coral points57
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
18Processor points18
12Net points16
30Algae points34
115Total teleop91
Reef
11L4#9
6L3#5
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
6Foul points0
141Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.92.5
31.433.9
Auto5.2
Teleop25.0
End3.7
blue by 12.3
51
#15
46.21.4
42.243.6
Auto5.6
Teleop32.8
End7.8
Second
7491
#16
29.52.5
25.528.0
Auto5.1
Teleop22.0
End2.5
blue by 1.7
7195
#32
31.21.4
29.030.4
Auto6.5
Teleop19.6
End5.1
Third
8424
#14
28.64.2
19.123.3
Auto7.1
Teleop17.6
End3.9
red by 15.2
5704
#40
13.42.3
10.813.1
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsEarned