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Red123
353659.7
551718.3
749129.5
Blue77
495623.1
168438.2
781817.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127815010015020012377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+36Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +29
13Coral scored#13
48Coral points45
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#1
18Processor points12
24Net points4
42Algae points16
90Total teleop61
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#5
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
123Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.70.1
57.857.9
Auto14.4
Teleop35.7
End9.6
red by 21.5
1684
#18
38.20.8
34.133.3
Auto7.1
Teleop28.1
End3.0
Second
7491
#16
29.50.1
27.027.2
Auto5.1
Teleop22.0
End2.5
red by 6.4
4956
#22
23.10.8
21.520.8
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End3.7
Third
5517
#30
18.30.1
18.318.5
Auto6.6
Teleop8.6
End3.1
red by 0.8
7818
#26
17.51.0
14.813.7
Auto3.2
Teleop10.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed