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Red144
365554.5
477651.1
842428.6
Blue104
659118.4
91055.6
97539.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13664050100150200144104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+32Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave9
8Coral scored#3
38Coral points14
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +11
12Coral scored#13
42Coral points45
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
18Processor points12
16Net points8
34Algae points20
76Total teleop65
Reef
11L4#5
4L3#6
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#20
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
144Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.51.5
48.950.4
Auto13.0
Teleop33.5
End8.0
blue by 1.2
910
#2
55.62.4
48.550.9
Auto15.9
Teleop31.9
End7.9
Second
4776
#10
51.11.5
45.346.9
Auto13.7
Teleop30.1
End7.3
red by 32.8
6591
#34
18.42.4
13.015.4
Auto4.1
Teleop12.7
End1.6
Third
8424
#14
28.61.9
26.628.5
Auto7.1
Teleop17.6
End3.9
red by 18.8
9753
#37
9.82.4
6.48.8
Auto1.9
Teleop6.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsEarned