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Red95
612036.3
955842.1
586023.7
Blue108
171844.2
776215.9
81845.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11812105010015020025030095108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+1Teleop
Endgame+11
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points16
22Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +2
15Coral scored#13
53Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
63Total teleop65
Reef
7L4#8
4L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +13
6Foul points8
95Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.10.5
42.642.1
Auto9.6
Teleop25.3
End7.3
blue by 3.0
818
#10
45.00.3
45.445.0
Auto6.3
Teleop37.5
End1.2
Second
6120
#17
36.30.5
36.836.3
Auto8.6
Teleop20.5
End7.1
blue by 8.0
44.20.3
44.544.2
Auto7.4
Teleop28.2
End8.6
Third
5860
#25
23.70.5
24.223.7
Auto5.8
Teleop17.9
End0.0
red by 7.8
7762
#32
15.90.3
16.215.9
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End2.1