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Red55
45312.7
776215.9
81845.0
Blue67
889918.0
781312.0
955842.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8384506070901001101201305567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+18
Endgame+18
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
6Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +9
9Coral scored#8
31Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
6Processor points6
0Net points12
6Algae points18
37Total teleop46
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#3
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
6Foul points0
55Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#10
45.02.4
36.934.5
Auto6.3
Teleop37.5
End1.2
red by 3.0
42.11.2
33.031.8
Auto9.6
Teleop25.3
End7.3
Second
7762
#32
15.92.4
16.914.5
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End2.1
blue by 2.1
8899
#27
18.02.0
18.216.2
Auto4.2
Teleop11.8
End2.1
Third
453
#24
12.72.4
13.611.2
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End1.7
red by 0.7
7813
#21
12.01.2
12.911.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed