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Red40
781312.0
31417.9
609920.2
Blue60
45312.7
523927.5
1065224.2
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5470204060801001204060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+2Teleop
Endgame+12
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +5
6Coral scored#4
22Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
26Total teleop21
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points8
40Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6099
#34
20.20.6
20.119.5
Auto4.3
Teleop14.1
End1.8
blue by 7.3
27.50.7
24.724.0
Auto6.3
Teleop14.3
End6.9
Second
314
#22
17.90.6
18.217.6
Auto3.8
Teleop12.5
End1.6
blue by 6.3
24.20.7
24.223.5
Auto5.3
Teleop16.3
End2.6
Third
7813
#21
12.00.6
11.010.4
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End1.5
blue by 0.7
453
#24
12.70.7
13.312.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned