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Red122
413028.4
505339.9
309828.8
Blue109
921212.9
955842.1
592623.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132844060100120140160180200122109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+25Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +31
24Coral scored#17
87Coral points60
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
109Total teleop78
Reef
8L4#7
7L3#4
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#5
29Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
122Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5053
#26
39.90.5
39.339.8
Auto5.0
Teleop31.0
End3.9
blue by 2.2
42.11.6
38.139.7
Auto9.6
Teleop25.3
End7.3
Second
3098
#11
28.80.5
29.229.6
Auto4.6
Teleop23.8
End0.5
red by 5.8
5926
#23
23.01.6
18.620.2
Auto5.4
Teleop13.2
End4.4
Third
4130
#18
28.40.5
30.030.5
Auto4.9
Teleop22.8
End0.7
red by 15.4
9212
#38
12.91.6
11.212.8
Auto1.8
Teleop9.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned