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Red92
975726.6
81845.0
506515.3
Blue74
1060629.1
718833.1
522515.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions958640601201401601809274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+28Teleop
+16Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +31
15Coral scored#8
55Coral points30
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#1
6Processor points12
16Net points4
22Algae points16
77Total teleop46
Reef
8L4#3
3L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
2Foul points0
92Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#10
45.00.4
44.144.5
Auto6.3
Teleop37.5
End1.2
red by 11.9
7188
#30
33.10.2
32.732.5
Auto4.8
Teleop28.1
End0.3
Second
26.60.4
26.026.3
Auto4.4
Teleop18.1
End4.1
blue by 2.5
29.10.2
29.829.6
Auto5.8
Teleop14.3
End9.0
Third
5065
#33
15.30.4
14.414.8
Auto3.9
Teleop10.1
End1.3
Level
5225
#29
15.40.2
14.614.4
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned