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Red100
1065224.2
811517.2
171844.2
Blue81
521418.3
413028.4
21746.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9211740608010014016018010081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+5
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +5
12Coral scored#15
42Coral points53
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
62Total teleop67
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#19
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
100Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.21.1
41.142.2
Auto7.4
Teleop28.2
End8.6
blue by 2.7
217
#8
46.91.4
49.347.8
Auto8.5
Teleop33.9
End4.5
Second
24.21.1
24.025.1
Auto5.3
Teleop16.3
End2.6
blue by 4.2
4130
#18
28.41.4
30.529.0
Auto4.9
Teleop22.8
End0.7
Third
8115
#36
17.21.1
16.117.2
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End3.5
blue by 1.2
5214
#31
18.31.4
19.818.3
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed