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Red103
955842.1
505339.9
506515.3
Blue121
118950.5
781312.0
481033.6
49%Model gave it51%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11211450100150200250103121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+18
Endgame+6
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave9
4Coral scored#5
19Coral points24
25Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +10
13Coral scored#11
48Coral points38
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
62Total teleop72
Reef
8L4#7
4L3#5
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points12
103Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.10.6
39.740.3
Auto9.6
Teleop25.3
End7.3
blue by 8.4
50.51.0
49.950.9
Auto9.9
Teleop32.0
End8.6
Second
5053
#26
39.90.6
39.840.3
Auto5.0
Teleop31.0
End3.9
red by 6.3
33.61.0
33.034.0
Auto6.5
Teleop25.9
End1.2
Third
5065
#33
15.30.6
14.815.3
Auto3.9
Teleop10.1
End1.3
red by 3.3
7813
#21
12.01.0
11.012.0
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsMissed