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Red155
612036.3
955842.1
586023.7
Blue132
118950.5
1066525.9
477944.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11414450100200155132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+13Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
6Coral scored#3
29Coral points13
29Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +3
19Coral scored#20
68Coral points71
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
12Processor points6
20Net points20
32Algae points26
100Total teleop97
Reef
10L4#5
6L3#9
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#29
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
155Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.11.1
41.742.8
Auto9.6
Teleop25.3
End7.3
blue by 8.4
50.50.2
50.850.9
Auto9.9
Teleop32.0
End8.6
Second
6120
#17
36.31.1
35.837.0
Auto8.6
Teleop20.5
End7.1
blue by 8.1
44.30.2
44.644.8
Auto8.5
Teleop28.8
End7.0
Third
5860
#25
23.71.1
23.224.4
Auto5.8
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 2.2
25.90.2
26.226.4
Auto4.6
Teleop19.2
End2.1