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Red127
505339.9
609920.2
481033.6
Blue134
612036.3
955842.1
586023.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110112100120130127134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+19
Teleop+5
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +19
3Leave9
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points19
9Total auto28
TeleoperatedRed +14
17Coral scored#17
60Coral points60
2Processor algae#1
8Net algae#6
12Processor points6
32Net points24
44Algae points30
104Total teleop90
Reef
7L4#9
5L3#5
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
127Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5053
#26
39.90.4
40.340.7
Auto5.0
Teleop31.0
End3.9
blue by 2.2
42.10.5
40.340.8
Auto9.6
Teleop25.3
End7.3
Second
33.60.4
34.034.4
Auto6.5
Teleop25.9
End1.2
blue by 2.7
6120
#17
36.30.5
34.535.0
Auto8.6
Teleop20.5
End7.1
Third
6099
#34
20.20.4
20.621.0
Auto4.3
Teleop14.1
End1.8
blue by 3.5
5860
#25
23.70.5
21.922.4
Auto5.8
Teleop17.9
End0.0