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Red141
353960.4
21746.9
1065224.2
Blue142
612036.3
955842.1
586023.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15510750200141142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave6
9Coral scored#7
44Coral points33
47Total auto39
TeleoperatedBlue +19
15Coral scored#21
54Coral points77
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
78Total teleop97
Reef
11L4#10
6L3#7
5L2#6
2L1 · trough#5
29Game pieces#32
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
141Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.40.0
61.461.4
Auto20.4
Teleop32.6
End7.3
red by 18.3
42.10.8
40.841.7
Auto9.6
Teleop25.3
End7.3
Second
217
#8
46.90.0
47.948.0
Auto8.5
Teleop33.9
End4.5
red by 10.7
6120
#17
36.30.8
35.035.8
Auto8.6
Teleop20.5
End7.1
Third
24.20.0
25.225.2
Auto5.3
Teleop16.3
End2.6
red by 0.5
5860
#25
23.70.8
22.423.2
Auto5.8
Teleop17.9
End0.0