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Red111
999814.2
721140.2
560336.0
Blue64
887335.5
377040.8
999616.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7810705015020011164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+45Teleop
+49Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave0
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points13
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +28
10Coral scored#8
35Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#1
6Processor points6
24Net points4
30Algae points10
65Total teleop37
Reef
7L4#6
3L3#2
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#13
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points2
111Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.22.1
39.942.0
Auto8.3
Teleop25.3
End6.7
blue by 0.6
3770
#21
40.82.5
41.438.9
Auto4.0
Teleop26.8
End10.1
Second
5603
#13
36.02.1
31.333.4
Auto8.0
Teleop23.7
End4.4
red by 0.5
8873
#19
35.52.5
37.234.7
Auto4.9
Teleop25.0
End5.7
Third
9998
#23
14.23.5
8.512.0
Auto6.7
Teleop6.5
End0.7
blue by 2.5
9996
#26
16.74.1
20.416.3
Auto2.4
Teleop13.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsMissed