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Red173
283251.7
686126.6
571264.5
Blue137
353858.2
542429.2
261936.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155128050100200250300173137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+36Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
6Coral scored#6
31Coral points30
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +29
21Coral scored#14
74Coral points51
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#7
18Processor points12
28Net points28
46Algae points40
120Total teleop91
Reef
11L4#5
9L3#6
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
173Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.50.7
63.664.4
Auto10.5
Teleop44.7
End9.5
red by 6.3
58.20.3
57.958.2
Auto13.2
Teleop44.7
End0.3
Second
51.70.7
50.851.6
Auto14.7
Teleop32.2
End4.8
red by 15.3
36.40.3
36.136.4
Auto6.9
Teleop21.7
End7.8
Third
6861
#18
26.60.7
25.726.5
Auto6.6
Teleop17.0
End3.0
blue by 2.6
5424
#25
29.20.3
28.829.2
Auto3.7
Teleop22.7
End2.8