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Red125
283251.7
686126.6
571264.5
Blue100
675321.4
997016.7
214551.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16384050100150200250125100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+35Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave0
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points16
27Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +24
16Coral scored#13
58Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
82Total teleop58
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#4
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
125Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.50.3
63.563.2
Auto10.5
Teleop44.7
End9.5
red by 13.3
51.20.2
51.151.4
Auto17.1
Teleop27.2
End6.9
Second
51.70.3
50.850.4
Auto14.7
Teleop32.2
End4.8
red by 30.3
6753
#22
21.40.2
21.421.6
Auto2.8
Teleop12.6
End6.1
Third
6861
#18
26.60.3
25.625.3
Auto6.6
Teleop17.0
End3.0
red by 9.9
9970
#12
16.70.4
16.316.7
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End4.0