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Red58
608832.9
542429.5
968519.5
Blue53
560337.7
603325.7
550415.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions766940601001205853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+15Teleop
+7Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
7Coral scored#5
26Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
36Total teleop28
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points2
58Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6088
#12
32.90.6
25.224.7
Auto5.0
Teleop23.1
End4.9
blue by 4.8
37.70.7
27.126.4
Auto8.4
Teleop24.8
End4.5
Second
5424
#21
29.50.6
27.627.0
Auto3.8
Teleop22.4
End3.3
red by 3.8
6033
#13
25.70.7
22.922.1
Auto3.7
Teleop16.5
End5.5
Third
9685
#17
19.50.6
13.512.9
Auto6.3
Teleop6.7
End6.5
red by 4.5
5504
#38
15.00.7
12.011.3
Auto2.6
Teleop8.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned