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Red96
851736.7
317558.3
964820.2
Blue72
550415.0
542429.5
1058719.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1335201001502009672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+42Teleop
+30Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave9
7Coral scored#1
34Coral points7
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +21
10Coral scored#7
37Coral points26
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
55Total teleop34
Reef
6L4#3
6L3#2
4L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points6
96Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.31.3
55.954.7
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End4.8
red by 28.8
5424
#21
29.50.6
27.127.7
Auto3.8
Teleop22.4
End3.3
Second
8517
#10
36.71.3
36.535.2
Auto8.8
Teleop25.8
End2.0
red by 17.3
19.40.6
16.417.0
Auto5.9
Teleop10.5
End3.0
Third
9648
#20
20.21.3
22.921.6
Auto6.2
Teleop11.4
End2.6
red by 5.2
5504
#38
15.00.6
13.414.0
Auto2.6
Teleop8.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsEarned