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Red36
1054714.9
1066712.7
550415.0
Blue145
1069023.5
521664.9
661012.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3611005010015020036145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+89
Endgame+83
Fouls+109
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave6
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points24
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +65
5Coral scored#17
18Coral points61
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#4
6Processor points12
0Net points16
6Algae points28
24Total teleop89
Reef
2L4#10
1L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#28
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +109
0Foul points26
36Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5504
#38
15.00.8
11.310.4
Auto2.6
Teleop8.4
End4.0
blue by 49.9
64.91.2
56.657.8
Auto18.9
Teleop44.4
End1.6
Second
14.90.8
14.914.1
Auto3.3
Teleop10.8
End0.8
blue by 8.6
23.51.2
22.423.5
Auto5.4
Teleop16.1
End2.1
Third
12.70.8
16.315.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End1.9
blue by 0.2
6610
#28
12.91.2
13.614.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed