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Red130
377048.5
968519.5
521664.9
Blue149
553824.9
516651.4
317558.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140139100120160180130149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+25
Endgame+13
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points28
33Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +21
11Coral scored#20
41Coral points72
4Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
24Processor points18
16Net points12
40Algae points30
81Total teleop102
Reef
5L4#10
5L3#7
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#32
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points6
130Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.90.1
64.964.8
Auto18.9
Teleop44.4
End1.6
red by 6.6
58.30.2
57.557.8
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End4.8
Second
48.50.1
48.448.4
Auto5.6
Teleop32.6
End10.3
blue by 3.0
51.40.2
50.650.9
Auto9.9
Teleop33.5
End8.1
Third
9685
#17
19.50.1
19.519.4
Auto6.3
Teleop6.7
End6.5
blue by 5.4
5538
#27
24.90.2
24.124.3
Auto5.1
Teleop14.3
End5.5