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Red152
377048.5
968519.5
521664.9
Blue100
967415.7
560337.7
522927.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1538150100200152100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+38Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave0
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points9
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +14
18Coral scored#18
63Coral points63
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#2
12Processor points18
28Net points8
40Algae points26
103Total teleop89
Reef
9L4#6
6L3#7
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#25
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points0
152Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.90.3
64.564.9
Auto18.9
Teleop44.4
End1.6
red by 27.2
37.70.3
37.037.3
Auto8.4
Teleop24.8
End4.5
Second
48.50.3
48.148.4
Auto5.6
Teleop32.6
End10.3
red by 20.7
27.80.3
27.127.4
Auto4.9
Teleop21.5
End1.4
Third
9685
#17
19.50.3
19.119.5
Auto6.3
Teleop6.7
End6.5
red by 3.8
9674
#34
15.70.3
15.015.3
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End2.2