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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1271118010012014016014886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+46Teleop
+56Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
6Leave3
4Coral scored#4
19Coral points20
25Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +44
15Coral scored#12
55Coral points43
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
18Processor points6
28Net points8
46Algae points14
101Total teleop57
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#3
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +62
6Foul points0
148Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.50.7
44.445.1
Auto6.5
Teleop32.2
End6.8
red by 5.0
40.50.4
40.740.3
Auto8.3
Teleop25.8
End6.4
Second
40.10.7
39.139.8
Auto8.9
Teleop28.6
End2.6
red by 8.7
548
#13
31.40.4
31.631.2
Auto4.7
Teleop25.4
End1.3
Third
7660
#24
19.50.7
18.519.2
Auto3.7
Teleop14.9
End0.8
blue by 3.3
4779
#17
22.90.4
23.122.6
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End3.9