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Red54
1054714.6
261921.5
370722.7
Blue41
592612.1
71099.6
603322.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions775920401001205441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+13Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +13
6Coral scored#4
23Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
31Total teleop18
Reef
3L4#2
1L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
54Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3707
#27
22.71.3
28.026.7
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End1.6
blue by 0.1
6033
#22
22.91.4
16.915.6
Auto3.6
Teleop15.6
End3.7
Second
2619
#12
21.51.3
20.519.2
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End5.3
red by 9.4
5926
#26
12.11.4
22.320.9
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End5.1
Third
14.61.3
17.115.9
Auto3.6
Teleop8.6
End2.4
red by 4.9
7109
#33
9.61.4
14.012.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsEarned