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Red115
851730.7
522921.5
1054714.6
Blue122
521652.3
1058713.3
553434.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions718620406080100120140115122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+31
Endgame+25
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +20
9Leave3
1Coral scored#6
4Coral points30
13Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +11
14Coral scored#18
50Coral points65
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
74Total teleop85
Reef
4L4#7
5L3#8
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
20Game pieces#28
BargeRed +6
10Cage & park4
10Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
18Foul points0
115Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8517
#18
30.71.6
28.530.1
Auto5.6
Teleop19.8
End5.4
blue by 21.6
52.33.9
37.941.8
Auto13.7
Teleop37.7
End1.0
Second
5229
#21
21.51.6
17.218.7
Auto4.3
Teleop15.7
End1.5
blue by 13.2
34.73.9
21.425.3
Auto4.5
Teleop25.5
End4.7
Third
14.61.6
13.915.4
Auto3.6
Teleop8.6
End2.4
red by 1.3
13.33.9
12.616.5
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed