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Red102
705428.6
515240.6
612820.1
Blue122
357263.9
609416.7
922510.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70102020406080120140160102122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+8
+2Endgame
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +15
0Leave3
3Coral scored#5
15Coral points27
15Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +7
11Coral scored#12
41Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
61Total teleop54
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#7
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points22
102Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.62.4
29.932.4
Auto5.5
Teleop27.2
End7.9
blue by 23.3
63.90.9
59.360.3
Auto19.6
Teleop35.2
End9.1
Second
28.64.0
23.127.2
Auto5.3
Teleop18.0
End5.3
red by 11.9
6094
#22
16.71.5
15.917.4
Auto4.4
Teleop7.8
End4.5
Third
6128
#37
20.14.0
12.616.6
Auto3.1
Teleop15.2
End1.8
red by 10.1
9225
#36
10.01.5
10.912.4
Auto2.8
Teleop7.3
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned