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Red79
353860.2
656110.3
861223.9
Blue62
812629.3
1018118.2
240531.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9981601201407962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+17Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +3
11Coral scored#8
38Coral points29
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
52Total teleop49
Reef
4L4#4
6L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
79Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.20.7
56.856.1
Auto20.2
Teleop37.1
End2.9
red by 28.4
2405
#15
31.81.1
30.729.7
Auto4.9
Teleop24.5
End2.3
Second
8612
#24
23.91.2
24.423.2
Auto4.5
Teleop17.2
End2.2
blue by 5.4
8126
#19
29.31.1
29.128.0
Auto4.0
Teleop23.9
End1.4
Third
6561
#18
10.30.7
8.37.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.5
End2.0
blue by 7.9
18.21.1
18.317.2
Auto4.4
Teleop12.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed