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Red101
1065420.6
609028.5
240531.8
Blue99
569714.6
612820.1
8532.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7562204010012010199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+2Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points3
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +8
16Coral scored#18
56Coral points66
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
80Total teleop88
Reef
7L4#6
7L3#5
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
101Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2405
#15
31.81.1
25.126.2
Auto4.9
Teleop24.5
End2.3
blue by 0.4
85
#11
32.22.0
29.831.9
Auto7.2
Teleop21.3
End3.7
Second
6090
#16
28.51.8
30.732.6
Auto6.1
Teleop19.3
End3.1
red by 8.4
6128
#37
20.12.0
16.618.6
Auto3.1
Teleop15.2
End1.8
Third
20.61.8
13.615.5
Auto6.2
Teleop12.5
End1.9
red by 6.0
5697
#20
14.61.2
13.314.5
Auto3.0
Teleop10.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsMissed