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Red104
607317.8
240531.8
283435.8
Blue113
1066412.4
804121.9
191847.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8267204060100120140104113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave3
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points9
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +20
14Coral scored#19
49Coral points69
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
67Total teleop87
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#5
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
104Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#10
35.81.8
38.240.0
Auto7.8
Teleop21.2
End6.7
blue by 12.1
47.95.4
39.544.9
Auto3.7
Teleop36.0
End8.3
Second
2405
#15
31.81.8
26.228.0
Auto4.9
Teleop24.5
End2.3
red by 9.8
8041
#14
21.93.2
12.916.1
Auto3.6
Teleop14.7
End3.7
Third
6073
#21
17.83.0
9.712.7
Auto3.5
Teleop10.9
End3.4
red by 5.4
12.45.4
9.514.9
Auto3.5
Teleop8.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsEarned