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Red63
515240.6
920516.4
609416.7
Blue144
804121.9
240531.8
353860.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5711310015063144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+63
Endgame+63
Fouls+81
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points20
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +49
8Coral scored#15
27Coral points54
0Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
0Processor points18
8Net points12
8Algae points30
35Total teleop84
Reef
2L4#9
2L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +81
0Foul points18
63Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.60.1
34.834.9
Auto5.5
Teleop27.2
End7.9
blue by 19.6
60.21.6
56.858.4
Auto20.2
Teleop37.1
End2.9
Second
6094
#22
16.70.1
15.215.3
Auto4.4
Teleop7.8
End4.5
blue by 15.1
2405
#15
31.81.6
29.030.6
Auto4.9
Teleop24.5
End2.3
Third
9205
#34
16.40.1
11.811.9
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End1.7
blue by 5.6
8041
#14
21.91.6
15.717.4
Auto3.6
Teleop14.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsEarned