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Red83
975612.3
1060629.1
705428.6
Blue63
804121.9
569714.6
959411.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7746020601001201408363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+10Teleop
+22Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +7
10Coral scored#8
37Coral points28
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
55Total teleop48
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#2
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points2
83Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.10.6
27.327.9
Auto6.8
Teleop14.3
End8.0
red by 7.2
8041
#14
21.90.7
19.620.4
Auto3.6
Teleop14.7
End3.7
Second
28.60.6
28.228.8
Auto5.3
Teleop18.0
End5.3
red by 14.0
5697
#20
14.60.7
13.414.2
Auto3.0
Teleop10.3
End1.3
Third
9756
#31
12.30.6
11.812.4
Auto2.7
Teleop7.6
End2.1
red by 1.3
9594
#39
11.00.9
10.711.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed