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Red120
550927.6
828516.1
353860.2
Blue69
656110.3
1065420.6
283435.8
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1126605010015012069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+41Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave9
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points20
30Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +40
14Coral scored#8
50Coral points30
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
74Total teleop34
Reef
8L4#3
4L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points0
120Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.21.4
60.061.4
Auto20.2
Teleop37.1
End2.9
red by 24.3
2834
#10
35.80.2
36.136.3
Auto7.8
Teleop21.2
End6.7
Second
5509
#12
27.61.8
24.125.9
Auto5.8
Teleop19.8
End2.0
red by 7.1
20.60.2
21.922.1
Auto6.2
Teleop12.5
End1.9
Third
8285
#30
16.11.7
15.116.8
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End3.7
red by 5.7
6561
#18
10.30.2
8.18.3
Auto3.8
Teleop4.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsMissed